Daily picks built from bases, hits, runs, RBIs, home runs, and pitcher strikeout data — filtered to lines confirmed live on PrizePicks, cross-checked against lineup/injury reports before publishing.
Our new recurring column on public opinion vs. actual dollars. Why the more lopsided public number was the one with weaker money behind it.
MLB · New Method · Live TestWe went 2-for-8 and rebuilt the method. Ranking now runs on the gap between blended hit rate and market-implied probability — plus the strongest argument against our own top pick.
MLB · Game Lines · First TestNew category test: moneyline, run line, and total picks across all 10 games, ranked by confidence using pitcher form, records, and sharp-money splits.
MLB · Full Slate · Top 10All 10 games surveyed via Outlier's Insights tab, deep-dived and ranked by category: Bases, Hits, RBIs, and Strikeouts.
MLB · 1 GameRBI unders from Rengifo and Varsho anchor a card built across four categories.
The highest-floor categories — "get on base" props with the most reliable long-run hit rates.
Situational props screened against lineup spot and opposing pitcher matchup data.
Only featured when there's enough sample size and H2H history to trust — we say so when there isn't.